Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,317$ on 2020-06-21
Best fit exponential: \(653 \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(53.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,223.5}{1 + 10^{-0.056 (t - 37.8)}}\) (asimptote \(2,223.5\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $107$ on 2020-06-21
Best fit exponential: \(25.5 \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(39.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{105.4}{1 + 10^{-0.045 (t - 36.5)}}\) (asimptote \(105.4\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $68$ on 2020-06-21
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $56,043$ on 2020-06-21
Best fit exponential: \(3.86 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(28.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{69,836.9}{1 + 10^{-0.019 (t - 85.4)}}\) (asimptote \(69,836.9\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $5,053$ on 2020-06-21
Best fit exponential: \(747 \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(32.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,952.3}{1 + 10^{-0.033 (t - 49.0)}}\) (asimptote \(4,952.3\))
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $50,990$ on 2020-06-21
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $8,745$ on 2020-06-21
Best fit exponential: \(2.91 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.005t}\) (doubling rate \(60.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{8,334.7}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 32.3)}}\) (asimptote \(8,334.7\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $244$ on 2020-06-21
Best fit exponential: \(79 \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(51.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{235.5}{1 + 10^{-0.057 (t - 29.6)}}\) (asimptote \(235.5\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $363$ on 2020-06-21
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $7,143$ on 2020-06-21
Best fit exponential: \(1.38 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(41.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{7,065.8}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 48.9)}}\) (asimptote \(7,065.8\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $326$ on 2020-06-21
Best fit exponential: \(77.5 \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(38.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{321.9}{1 + 10^{-0.051 (t - 35.6)}}\) (asimptote \(321.9\))
Start date 2020-03-05 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $617$ on 2020-06-21
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $12,591$ on 2020-06-21
Best fit exponential: \(2.97 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(46.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{12,149.3}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 42.1)}}\) (asimptote \(12,149.3\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $600$ on 2020-06-21
Best fit exponential: \(171 \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(46.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{582.1}{1 + 10^{-0.043 (t - 33.1)}}\) (asimptote \(582.1\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $509$ on 2020-06-21
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,823$ on 2020-06-21
Best fit exponential: \(722 \times 10^{0.004t}\) (doubling rate \(68.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,805.0}{1 + 10^{-0.077 (t - 29.4)}}\) (asimptote \(1,805.0\))
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-06-21
Best fit exponential: \(4.68 \times 10^{0.004t}\) (doubling rate \(70.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10.1}{1 + 10^{-0.072 (t - 22.4)}}\) (asimptote \(10.1\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $8$ on 2020-06-21
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $60,550$ on 2020-06-21
Best fit exponential: \(1.4 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(45.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{58,393.6}{1 + 10^{-0.044 (t - 41.9)}}\) (asimptote \(58,393.6\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $9,696$ on 2020-06-21
Best fit exponential: \(2.33 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(42.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,426.9}{1 + 10^{-0.054 (t - 38.0)}}\) (asimptote \(9,426.9\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $34,083$ on 2020-06-21
Start date 2020-03-04 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $305,803$ on 2020-06-21
Best fit exponential: \(4.39 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(35.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{297,250.9}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 53.8)}}\) (asimptote \(297,250.9\))
Start date 2020-03-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $42,717$ on 2020-06-21
Best fit exponential: \(7.64 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(37.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{40,719.7}{1 + 10^{-0.038 (t - 45.0)}}\) (asimptote \(40,719.7\))
Start date 2020-03-04 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $261,767$ on 2020-06-21
Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $238,499$ on 2020-06-21
Best fit exponential: \(6.14 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(52.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{231,953.8}{1 + 10^{-0.039 (t - 42.9)}}\) (asimptote \(231,953.8\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $34,634$ on 2020-06-21
Best fit exponential: \(7.9 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(48.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{33,471.4}{1 + 10^{-0.038 (t - 45.3)}}\) (asimptote \(33,471.4\))
Start date 2020-02-23 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $20,972$ on 2020-06-21
